Tuesday, March 13, 2012

Playoff Push: March 13th

Eastern Conference Standings - March 13
(Sabres.com)
There are three and a half weeks to go in the regular season and yet again, like the previous season, we have another playoff push presented to us.  The 2012 Edition of the Buffalo Sabres notorious late-season rally has already featured it's fair share of ups and downs, dazzles and doubts.  It's been gratifying as well as desensitizing.  Entertaining to say the least.

This time around, with the help of the amazing SportsClubStats, I want to take a more in-depth look at the numbers to analyze this entire situation.  With some extra effort, I'll try and share what we, as Sabres faithful, should be hoping for with each game involving the other clubs vying for that sought after eighth and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference.  Current standings are to your right for reference.

Nightly (if I can keep up), I'll take each important matchup and show the effect each individual outcome of the game will directly have on the Sabres' playoff odds.  In bold, you'll notice the best possible outcome for Buffalo; the one having the greatest positive impact on the Sabres' odds.  Without further adieu, here are tonight's games:

Washington Capitals at New York Islanders
NYI - Reg Win (+2.8%)
NYI - OT Win (+0.3%)
NYI - SO Win (+0.3%)
WAS - Reg Win (-1.8%)
WAS - OT Win (-1.8%)
WAS - SO Win (-1.8%)

Toronto Maple Leafs at Florida Panthers
FLA - Reg Win (-1.1%)
FLA - OT Win (-1.2%)
FLA - SO Win (-0.9%)
TOR - Reg Win (+1.7%)
TOR - OT Win (+0.1%)
TOR - SO Win (+0.1%)

Boston Bruins at Tampa Bay Lightning
TAM - Reg Win (-0.4%)
TAM - OT Win (-0.4%)
TAM - SO Win (-0.4%)
BOS - Reg Win (+0.3%)
BOS - OT Win (0.0)
BOS - SO Win (0.0)

The Buffalo Sabres' playoff odds are currently at 15.2%.  If all goes well tonight and what is bolded above happens, odds could be up to 20%.

2 comments:

  1. Looks as those the odds are stacked against us, with our schedule, and the way Washington is playing.

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  2. Odds are definitely against us and we don't even control our own destiny... it's in the hands of the Capitals and Panthers. Look here: http://playoffstatus.com/nhl/easternwinmagicnumbers.html

    Sabres just need to keep upping the win column, preferably in regulation or overtime. Shootout wins aren't helping us if it comes down to a tie-breaker.

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